I've crunched the data on each BRHL draft from 2007 to 2017 to see who is truly the best drafter in the BRHL (and who's the worst). For each draft class I used actual NHL games played and Points per season for each drafted player to come up with a model for expected games played and points based on draft position for each draft year. Each pick was then evaluated as +/- relative to the expected values for the pick position. I then aggregated the +/- for each GM and applied a few other model corrections to account for things like the overall number of picks made by the GM.
Using the above methodology, I was able to rank all GMs by averaging their +/- over their entire draft history. I also broke down each GMs history year-by-year to see how they were trending, and to look for outliers that may have a large effect on their ranking.
** I noticed a mistake in my spreadsheet that was actually giving a boost to some teams with very few picks, instead of slightly downgrading them due to the lack of history. While most didn't see much of a change, there are two GMs who were originally inside the top 18, but fall to the very bottom. As such, everyone ranked so far moves up 2 slots, and the following GMs will drop to the bottom.**
#Extra Extra Last: Richard C: -2.80GP & -2.83Pts
Sorry Rich, You land in last because of a lower than average draft record, and the fact you have only made 2 picks!! Crazy that after all these years in the league you only drafted two players.
Highlights and Lowlights:
| Criteria | Relative | Player | Pick |
| Best GP | 2.01 | Brendan Lemieux | 34 |
| Worst GP | -7.62 | Mike Amadio | 76 |
| Best Pts | -2.46 | Mike Amadio | 34 |
| Worst Pts | -3.21 | Brendan Lemieux | 76 |
Well, Lemieux was an OK pick I guess. Amadio, not as much? I dunno what else to say here. Hard to analyze two shitty players. Neither was drafted particularily high, so hard to really gauge things.
Year-by-year performance:
I guess Rich drafted both guys in 2015. What a year!
#Extra Last: Larry L: -3.21GP & -1.20Pts
Sorry Larry. Much like Rich, you are hindered by a small data set, and poor overall draft performance. A few more years and I expect to see you creep up the rankings.
Highlights and Lowlights:
| Criteria | Relative | Player | Pick |
| Best GP | -2.00 | Daniel Brickley | 193 |
| Worst GP | -4.51 | Joseph Anderson | 51 |
| Best Pts | -0.76 | Daniel Brickley | 193 |
| Worst Pts | -1.27 | Joseph Anderson | 51 |
Yikes, none of Larry's draft picks up to 2017 performed above expectations. Not ideal track record. I do suspect that Larry will see some improvements in more recent drafts, but time will tell.
Year-by-year performance:
Only one year on record for Larry. 9 picks, and not much to show for that year unfortunately. Brickley might become something still, but I think he was a stretch as a second rounder. We will see...
